| AI timelines |
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| Kind of AGI we will have first (de novo, neuromorphic, WBE, etc.) |
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| Preference ordering between kinds of AGI |
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| Type of AI safety work most endorsed |
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| Value of decision theory work |
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| Value of highly reliable agent design work |
See this post. |
| Value of machine learning safety work |
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| Value of intelligence amplification work |
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| Value of thinking of esoteric failure modes |
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| Difficulty of AI alignment |
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| Shape of takeoff/discontinuities in progress |
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| How “prosaic” AI will be |
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| Difficulty of philosophy |
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| How well we need to understand philosophy before building AGI |
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| Cooperation vs values spreading/moral advocacy |
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